An oil tanker at sea viewed from above
Petrol

The barrel and the pump disagree

Petrol Price Malaysia This Week: RON95 Stays RM1.99, RON97 Down 5 Sen — Even With Oil Up 12% (Aug 2026)

RaymondRates.my4 min read

Brent has run 12% in a week to US$88.86. In the same week every Malaysian pump price either held or fell five sen. Both are true, and the gap between them is the thing worth understanding.

$88.86
Brent, 11 Aug
+12.0% in a week
+24%
Off the 1 July low
from US$71.57
RM1.99
RON95 under BUDI95
unchanged since the cap

Why oil is going up

  • It is a shipping lane, not a shortage. The move is geopolitics rather than fundamentals — no barrels have newly disappeared this week.
  • The Hormuz deal keeps not getting signed. Iran’s parliament has yet to clear the Iran–Oman arrangement, and the draft is tougher than markets priced.
  • Tehran added a condition. It ties any full arrangement to the US lifting its maritime blockade first — so the deadlock holds.

This is the second leg, not the first

Brent crude, month-end closes (US$ per barrel) — the 2026 round trip$50$75$100$125DecJanFebMar$118AprMayJun$73JulNow$89Iran war peakYahoo Finance closes, computed 11 Aug 2026. 52-week range: $58.92 (16 Dec) to $118.35 (31 Mar).
March's war spike was the largest monthly Brent rise on record. Today is well below it — and well above June.
  • March did the damage. Brent ended March at $118.35 as the Hormuz blockade held back roughly 8 million barrels a day.
  • Then it round-tripped. By 1 July it was back to $71.57, near pre-war. The current rally is a rebound off that low.
  • Mid-range is the honest read. $88.86 sits between a $58.92 December low and a $118.35 March high — room in both directions.
An oil tanker at sea viewed from above
About a fifth of the world's oil moves through the Strait of Hormuz. The price is trading the paperwork, not the flow. · Photo: Unsplash

So why did your pump price fall?

Same week, opposite directions — why the pump did not follow the barrelBrent crude+12.0%week to 11 AugRON95 (BUDI95)RM1.99unchanged — cappedRON95 unsubsidised−5 sento RM3.77RON97−5 sento RM4.35Diesel−5 sento RM4.57Pump prices: Ministry of Finance weekly APM, 6–12 Aug 2026. Next update 13 Aug.
Nothing here contradicts anything else — the two prices are set by different clocks.
  • The APM runs on a lag. This week’s prices were set from the previousweek’s costs — when Brent was near $79.
  • It tracks MOPS, not Brent. Malaysia prices off refined product in Singapore, which moves with crude but not in lockstep.
  • BUDI95 breaks the link entirely. RON95 is capped at RM1.99 for eligible Malaysians — until you pass 300 litres in a month.
The bit that catches people out. Past 300 litres in a calendar month, the pump switches you to the unsubsidised rate — RM3.77a litre this week, not RM1.99. The quota resets on the 1st. Heavy drivers are the ones who actually feel Brent; everyone else feels it through the ringgit and the government’s oil revenue instead.

What to watch

  • 13 AugThe next APM update.This week’s five-sen cut reflected $79 oil; the next one reflects the run to $89.
  • OngoingIran’s parliament. The rally is priced on a deal not passing — passage is the thing that would unwind it.
  • Your sideTrack the weekly numbers on our petrol price page, and watch your 300-litre quota if you drive a lot.

We have been following this one

Not financial advice. Brent and WTI figures are daily closes as at 11 August 2026; pump prices are the Ministry of Finance APM prices for 6–12 August 2026. Oil moves daily and this is general information about how Malaysian fuel pricing works. Rates.my holds no CMSA licence, issues no price targets, and none of this is a recommendation.

Sources & further reading

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This article is general information, not personalised financial advice. Rates.my is not a licensed financial adviser — always verify rates with the institution and consider your own circumstances.

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