China's chip mega-IPO
CXMT: China's Biggest-Ever Chip IPO — and Crypto Is Already Trading It Before It Lists (2026)
China’s memory-chip champion CXMT (ChangXin Memory Technologies)has just priced the country’s biggest-ever A-share chip IPO — and in a very 2026 twist, you don’t have to wait for the July 27 listing to see a price. A crypto market is already trading it, and it disagrees with Beijing by a factor of six.
The 30-second version of CXMT
Hefei-based CXMT is China’s answer to Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron — the country’s leading maker of DRAM, the working memory in everything from phones to AI servers. It has ridden the same memory supercycle we covered in our Micron & SanDisk piece: DRAM prices have gone vertical, and CXMT’s profits have gone vertical with them.
The IPO, in one picture
The deal prices at ¥8.66 a share and could raise up to US$9.8 billionon Shanghai’s Nasdaq-style STAR Market — topping SMIC’s 2020 deal as China’s largest chip listing ever, at an official valuation around US$85 billion. The chairman has pledged not to sell a share for a decade, and the proceeds go to capacity and R&D.
The twist: it’s already trading — on crypto rails
Days before the listing, a pre-IPO perpetual futures market for CXMT went live on Hyperliquid, the decentralised exchange we profiled in our crypto-rebound piece. Builder trade.xyz paid 500 HYPE (≈US$33,000) just to claim the $CXMT ticker under Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 framework, and the contract opened around US$7.20 — then pushed toward US$8.40.
“Crypto traders are pricing CXMT at roughly US$560 billion — 6.5 times the value Beijing just signed off on.”
Genius or degen?
The bulls’ logic: STAR Market debuts have no price limit for the first five sessions, the free float is small, and mainland investors have nowhere else to buy China’s only DRAM champion — a recipe for a monster first-day pop. The bears’ logic: a perp can stay irrational for as long as funding rates let it, and nothing forces it to converge with the Shanghai price. One whale reportedly moved US$75 million onto the venue and went long. That is conviction — or a very expensive coin flip.
The Malaysian angle
- You can’t subscribeto 688825 — but the memory supercycle is investable through US names like Micron and SanDisk, or Bursa’s chip back-end cluster (Inari, MPI, Unisem) that packages and tests for the industry.
- Watch the cycle, not just the pop:a cash-rich CXMT adding DRAM capacity is precisely how memory booms have historically ended. Today’s shortage funds tomorrow’s glut.
- The bigger signal: pre-IPO perps on crypto rails just gave the world a live price for a closed Chinese listing. Expect more of this — and more SC warnings about it.
The bottom line
July 27 will settle the argument: either the Shanghai debut rockets toward what the perp implies, or crypto’s first big read on a Chinese IPO ends up 6× too excited. Either way, memory is the trade of 2026 — see where the money is flowing on today’s trending US and Bursa stocks.
Sources & further reading
- Bloomberg — CXMT prices Shanghai STAR IPO at ¥8.66, seeking up to US$9.8bil
- Reuters — CXMT aims for Asia’s biggest IPO of 2026; lists July 27
- BigGo Finance — subscription July 16; H1 profit up to 25-fold; chairman’s 10-year no-sale pledge
- Bloomberg — crypto market offers pre-IPO bets on CXMT
- Blockchain.News — CXMT pre-IPO perps open at US$7.20 on Hyperliquid
- The Defiant — Ventuals winds down; trade.xyz carries on Hyperliquid pre-IPO markets
- Hyperliquid — the live $CXMT pre-IPO market (xyz:CXMT)
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