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Real balloting numbers

Is It Worth Applying for Bursa IPOs? Stratus Global's Real Balloting Numbers (2026)

RaymondRates.my5 min read

Stratus Global Holdings Berhad (Bursa: 5356) released its official balloting results on 14 July 2026. Below is the full table — every tier, every number. We use it to answer one question: if you apply for a hot Bursa IPO, how much do you really get?

Quick answer. Apply RM1,000,000 (1.25 million shares) for Stratus Global. If you win the ballot, you get 15,000 shares — worth RM12,000. That's about 1% of what you applied for. And there's only a 15.85% chance you win anything at all.
RM1,000,000
You apply
1.25 million shares
15.85%
Chance you win
at that tier
RM12,000
If you win, you get
≈ 1% of your money
A pink piggy bank with a small pile of coins in front of it
Balloting works like this: your money goes in, but only a small slice comes back — even when you win. · Photo: Unsplash

What is balloting?

Too many people want the IPO. Not enough shares to go around. So Bursa runs a lottery, called balloting. You don't apply for shares directly — you apply into a tier, based on how many shares you asked for. Each tier has its own fixed prize and its own draw.

Win the draw, and you get that tier's fixed number of shares — not what you asked for. Lose, and your money is refunded. Simple as that.

If you WIN the ballot: % of your money you get back0%25%50%75%100%100%100apply RM80win RM8050%4,000apply RM3.2kwin RM1,60027.3%11,000apply RM8.8kwin RM2,40010%50,000apply RM40kwin RM4,0007%100,000apply RM80kwin RM5,6002.2%500,000apply RM400kwin RM8,8001.5%1,000,000apply RM800kwin RM12,0000.5%10,000,000apply RM8mwin RM40,000"Tier" = shares applied for. "Apply" = cost at RM0.80/share. "Win" = what you get if lucky.
If you win the ballot, this is the % of your money you get back — by how many shares you applied for.

The pattern is clear: apply small, and a win gives you back most or all of your money. Apply huge, and even a win only gives you back a tiny slice. Applying for 100,000× more shares (100 → 10,000,000) only wins you 500× more shares (100 → 50,000) — not 100,000× more. The lot size caps out fast.

The full balloting table — Public

This is the tranche most Malaysians apply through. Issue price RM0.80. 12,500,000 shares set aside for this pool.

Shares appliedApplicationsWonWin rateShares if you win
100 – 9003,699752.03%100
1,000 – 1,9003,6341052.89%500
2,000 – 2,9002,562873.40%1,000
3,000 – 3,9002,046824.01%1,500
4,000 – 5,9002,9061324.54%2,000
6,000 – 10,9005,7072925.12%2,500
11,000 – 19,9005,5613396.10%3,000
20,000 – 49,9007,1285037.06%4,000
50,000 – 99,9008,3863153.76%5,000
100,000 – 199,9002,4862289.17%7,000
200,000 – 499,9001,31213710.44%9,000
500,000 – 999,9005066312.45%11,000
1,000,000 – 1,999,9002654215.85%15,000
2,000,000 – 4,999,9001132824.78%20,000
5,000,000 – 9,999,900381436.84%30,000
10,000,000 – Above643046.88%50,000
Total46,4132,47212,500,000 shares
Stratus Global — Public tranche, basis of balloting, 14 July 2026.

The full balloting table — Bumiputera

A separate pool, same 12,500,000 shares, same fixed lot per tier — but far fewer applications, so win rates are higher at every level.

Shares appliedApplicationsWonWin rateShares if you win
100 – 9001,9981608.01%100
1,000 – 1,9001,6601519.10%500
2,000 – 2,9001,07510810.05%1,000
3,000 – 3,9008699911.39%1,500
4,000 – 5,9001,26115512.29%2,000
6,000 – 10,9002,41431613.09%2,500
11,000 – 19,9002,78342215.16%3,000
20,000 – 49,9002,93747316.10%4,000
50,000 – 99,9001,51427017.83%5,000
100,000 – 199,90098520020.30%7,000
200,000 – 499,90059818130.27%9,000
500,000 – 999,90027411040.15%11,000
1,000,000 – 1,999,9001216150.41%15,000
2,000,000 – 4,999,900543361.11%20,000
5,000,000 – 9,999,900141178.57%30,000
10,000,000 – Above88100.00%50,000
Total18,5652,75812,500,000 shares
Stratus Global — Bumiputera tranche, basis of balloting, 14 July 2026.
BumiputeraPublic0%25%50%75%100%1004,00011,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,00010,000,000
Chance of winning, Bumiputera vs Public, by tier. The prize if you win is the same either way — only the odds differ.
Same prize, better odds. Look closely: the shares you win are identical in both tables at every tier (e.g. 15,000 shares at the 1,000,000-share tier, in both pools). Bumiputera applicants simply have a better chance of winning that same prize — up to a guaranteed 100% at the top tier (all 8 applicants won).

How hot was this, really?

Stratus Global's overall retail tranche was oversubscribed 128.82 times — one of the hottest Bursa IPOs of 2026. For comparison:

Sunway HealthcareMar 20265.57×Bumi pool: 0.76× (undersubscribed)SkyeChipMay 202695.03×Public pool alone: 153.86×Stratus GlobalJul 2026128.82×Lists 21 Jul 2026
Retail oversubscription rate — how many times more shares were applied for than available.
+332%
SkyeChip's intraday peak
vs its 88 sen IPO price
−41.8%
SkyeChip's fall from peak
still closed +151% vs IPO
+28%
Sunway Healthcare's close
only 5.57× oversubscribed — held it

The hotter the ballot, the bigger the pop on debut day — and usually, the bigger the pullback once early winners cash out. Stratus lists 21 July 2026, hotter than both. Read our full Stratus Global review for the business and valuation behind the ticker.

So — is it worth applying?

For a small application — a few thousand ringgit you can spare for a week — yes. A win returns most or all of your money, and a loss just gets refunded. Low risk, small reward, no real downside.

Applying huge to force a big allocationdoesn't work the way it feels like it should. The lot size is capped. Your odds only rise a little. And the share of your money you get back keeps shrinking the more you apply. A RM1 million application is not 12,500× better than a RM80 one — it wins you 150× the shares, for 12,500× the cash tied up.

Not financial advice. This explains how Bursa Malaysia's retail IPO balloting works, using Stratus Global's, SkyeChip's and Sunway Healthcare's published figures. It is not a recommendation to apply for, buy or sell any of these shares. Balloting results and debut performance differ for every IPO — check the latest with Bursa Malaysia or the issuing house, and only apply what you can afford to have tied up.

Sources & further reading

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